Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.020431 0.022623 0.024816 0.027169 0.029617 0.032083 0.034750
2025-03-09 0.016024 0.019469 0.023046 0.027010 0.031253 0.035633 0.040477
2025-03-16 0.012658 0.016807 0.021266 0.026341 0.031896 0.037738 0.044298
2025-03-23 0.010598 0.015259 0.020422 0.026429 0.033117 0.040247 0.048343
2025-03-30 0.008671 0.013633 0.019302 0.026042 0.033666 0.041893 0.051325
2025-04-06 0.006900 0.011996 0.018020 0.025340 0.033751 0.042930 0.053548
2025-04-13 0.005145 0.010181 0.016384 0.024112 0.033142 0.043113 0.054750
2025-04-20 0.004445 0.009645 0.016233 0.024569 0.034409 0.045351 0.058186
2025-04-27 0.003433 0.008561 0.015325 0.024063 0.034514 0.046237 0.060077
2025-05-04 0.002514 0.007475 0.014332 0.023393 0.034378 0.046809 0.061577
2025-05-11 0.002055 0.007020 0.014124 0.023657 0.035317 0.048587 0.064414
2025-05-18 0.001539 0.006378 0.013618 0.023516 0.035748 0.049758 0.066544
2025-05-25 0.000969 0.005567 0.012922 0.023233 0.036148 0.051062 0.069031
2025-06-01 0.000534 0.004857 0.012338 0.023103 0.036767 0.052670 0.071932
2025-06-08 0.000168 0.003983 0.011420 0.022482 0.036750 0.053511 0.073936
2025-06-15 0.000031 0.003508 0.011056 0.022564 0.037575 0.055321 0.077035
2025-06-22 NaN 0.002899 0.010398 0.022203 0.037817 0.056416 0.079286
2025-06-29 NaN 0.002250 0.009567 0.021550 0.037655 0.057002 0.080920
2025-07-06 NaN 0.001528 0.008444 0.020409 0.036824 0.056753 0.081550
2025-07-13 NaN 0.001370 0.008408 0.020834 0.038001 0.058916 0.084998
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000986 0.007794 0.020364 0.037991 0.059623 0.086718
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000631 0.007109 0.019742 0.037754 0.060034 0.088070
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000508 0.006993 0.019987 0.038656 0.061832 0.091057